UPDATE: Baldwin leads by 9 in latest Marquette Poll - WKOW 27: Madison, WI Breaking News, Weather and Sports

UPDATE: Baldwin leads by 9 in latest Marquette Poll

MILWAUKEE (WKOW) -- At first glance it appears to be a typo, but its not.

In one month, Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin (D-Madison) has turned a nine-point deficit into a nine-point lead over former Governor Tommy Thompson (R) in the race for U.S. Senate.

That's according to the new Marquette Law School Poll released Wednesday afternoon.

Its the third poll this week showing Baldwin is now either tied or in the lead.

Thompson told 27 News he expected the race to tighten up.

"We had to regroup, because we had a tough primary and we had to raise the finances," explained Thompson.  "She (Baldwin) had no primary and she had all this money available so she started campaigning, attacking me from day one, which of course would tighten the polls. There's no question about it."

But state Democratic leaders say Baldwin has also been working harder than Thompson.

"What we're seeing from Tommy Thompson is that we're really not seeing Tommy Thompson.  He has sort of sat back and let the special interests run a campaign for him," said Maggie Brickerman, the Executive Director of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin.

The poll is also bad news for Republicans in their quest to take back the White House.

President Barack Obama, who led by three points in August, now has a 54-40 percent lead in Wisconsin.

While its a bigger margin than other polls have shown, its consistent with the bounce Obama's received in Wisconsin since the conventions.

"That stark choice is what people saw during the conventions and I think what our plan is for the middle class, for the middle class moving forward is really resonating with voters in Wisconsin," said Brickerman.

Thompson hopes Romney's sagging numbers don't bring him down as well.    

"The Presidential thing is bound to have an impact on every election.  Whether you're a Democrat or Republican.  If you're a standard-bearer for the Presidency is not doing well, its gonna reflect on the down ballot," said Thompson.

51 percent of the people Marquette polled over the weekend said they lean Democratic, compared to just 40 percent who said they lean Republican.

In the August poll there was just a one percent difference between the two parties.

State Republicans say that makes this poll highly suspect, but Democrats say its more likely a lot of former independents are now saying they're Democrats.


MILWAUKEE (WKOW) -- The latest Marquette Poll shows a dramatic shift in Wisconsin's race for U.S. Senate, with the latest polling results released on Wednesday showing Democratic candidate Tammy Baldwin leading Republican Tommy Thompson by nine points.

Congresswoman Baldwin received 50% of the support in the survey of likely voters with Thompson, the former Wisconsin governor, polling at just 41%.

It's a complete reversal from the previous Marquette Poll, released in August, which showed Thompson with a 50%-41% advantage.

Wednesday's Poll also showed President Obama with a widening lead over Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney in Wisconsin, with the President holding a 54%-40% advantage in that race.

27 News Capitol Reporter Greg Neumann will have more on the latest polling numbers and Tommy Thompson's thoughts on the state of the U.S. Senate race tonight in 27 News at 5 and 6.

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